Chemistry Trend Analysis

ESdat Supports Trend Analysis using the Mann-Kendall and Linear Regression statistical techniques.  ESdat also provides a "Last Value is Highest" identification.

Mann-Kendall is described originally in the following texts, and is also described in numerous textbooks describing stastical techniques for environmental data.  

  • Mann, H.B. 1945. Non-parametric tests against trend, Econometrica 13:163-171.
  • Kendall, M.G. 1975. Rank Correlation Methods, 4th edition, Charles Griffin, London.

The ESdat help documentation describes only the application of Mann-Kendall and Linear Regression techniques within ESdat.  For a description of these stasticical techniques ESdat users will need to refer to the above references or stastical textbooks.  ESdat applies Mann Kendall with a "one-tailed Mann-Kendall" approach, as opposed to a "two-tailed Mann-Kendall", which is the typical application.  

Within the Trend Analysis screen in ESdat users can select either Mann Kendall or Linear Regression as the technique, specify a Significance Level (A Significance Level of 0.05 relates to a Confidence Level of 95%; 0.1 relates to 90%) and the trend results will be shown.

Trends are always shown per analyte, for each Location & Well.   At least 3 data points in order to calculate a trend.  Trends are identified by:

  • TUp = Trending Up (shaded in red)
  • TDn = Trending Down (shaded in orange)
  • LH = Last Value Highest (shaded in red)
  • NT = No Trend
  • Blank Cell = No data, or not enough data (<3 data points) to calculate a trend.

 

Users can select to show the trend stastics as well as the trend result, and clicking on a trend result will show a graph of the data, as shown below.